Nyrup går imod Rompuys europagt - Folkebevægelsen mod EU

. . . . ”I hele dette forløb er aftaler indgået af et meget lille antal personer. Man kan ikke sige, at dette har været en demokratisk proces, selvom det har enorme konsekvenser for den sociale velfærd og for demokratiet. Der er et reelt behov for åbenhed, for at lade befolkningerne komme til orde,” sagde formanden for PES i den anledning.

- Måske skulle de danske socialdemokrater lytte til deres europæiske formand og kræve en folkeafstemning om EU virkelig skal have mere magt til at tryne almindelige lønmodtagere og andet godtfolk, siger Folkebevægelsens MEP Søren Søndergaard på sin blog. . . . 

Krækja: Nyrup går imod Rompuys europagt - Folkebevægelsen mod EU

Sinnemäki’s blog written by assistant- Helsinki Times

“MINISTER of Labour Anni Sinnemäki’s (Greens) latest blog entry was written by her special assistant, it has been revealed. The blog, written in Sinnemäki’s name, comments on the taxation plans of the Social Democratic Party.

Krækja: Sinnemäki’s blog written by assistant

Þjóðverjum hefur fækkað um 630 þúsund manns á fjórum árum

2010-árbók hagstofu Þýskalands er komin út.

Öldrunarhagkerfi

Mynd 1; úr árbókinni: þýski aldurspíramídinn er smám saman að snúast á hvolf og er svo étinn upp innanfrá af mannfjölda sem er af erlendu bergi brotinn. Framtíðarspá hagstofunnar gerir ráð fyrir að aðeins 60-65 milljón manns búi í Þýskalandi árið 2060.

Mynd 2; úr mannfjöldaspálíkani þýsku hagstofunnar. Forsenda: frjósemi 1,2 lifandi fætt barn á hverja konu fram til 2060 (fertility rate). Fólksfækkun: 18 milljón manns frá 2005 til 2060.



Graf 3; Sögulegt frjósemi þýskra og japanskra kvenna (fertility rate) frá 1960 til 2008. Fjöldi lifandi fæddra barna á æfi hverrar konu.

The Low fertility trap

Þekkið þið þessi einkenni?

eftir Edward Hugh

1. Ongoing weaknesses in domestic consumer demand
2. absence of housing booms (since 1995 in the European cases)
3. Comparatively high rates of personal saving, which then begin to decline
4. Increasing structural dependence on exports for growth
5. Lack of attractiveness as a destination for migrants
6. An increasingly flat wages curve (across time) despite demographically driven labour market tightening
7. Growing government deficit issues and dilemma's about how to fund
8. health and pension systems, with a tendency to try and load the cost onto the tax system rather than reducing provision. Lesa áfram 

Lýsing: Low Fertility Trap
Skilgreining: PDF og glærur

Skrif Edwards Hugh

How low can fertility fall?

- The possible ‘low fertility trap’ hypothesis

- Observation that countries that fell below fertility level of 1.5 children have not recovered.

- Negative demographic momentum: Because of past low fertility there will be fewer potential mothers in the future.

- Economics: Gap between aspirations for consumption and expected income widens for young people due to negative consequences of ageing (cuts in social security systems, possible economic stagnation)

- Ideational change: Young people are socialized in an environment with few children and this may result in lower ideal family size in next generation.

• The Low-Fertility Trap (AFOE)
• Population, The Ultimate Non-renewable Resource

FT.com - Ireland needs help with its debt

What caused this calamity?

As Philip Lane of Trinity College notes: “There was a genuine Irish economic miracle, with very rapid output, employment and productivity growth during the 1994-2000 period.” Without entry into the eurozone, this might have petered out. But the fall in interest rates increased the risk that a credit-fuelled property bubble would emerge. So, indeed, it did.

Prof Lane observes: “The flavour of this boom was very different to the ‘Celtic Tiger’ years. In particular, it was dominated by a surge in construction activity.” Moreover, this “expansion in property investment was fuelled by rapid credit expansion”, not just to the household sector, but also to a “small group of property developers”."

FT.com / Comment & analysis / FT Columnists - Ireland needs help with its debt: "

Amagerbanken den største fejl i Danmarkshistorien

Det er formentlig den største udgiftspolitiske fejltagelse, der nogensinde er sket i kongeriget Danmark, siger professor Finn Østrup, CBS, om forløbet omkring Amagerbankens krak.

Det er fuldstændig utroligt, at Finansiel Stabilitet giver en garanti på 13,5 milliarder kroner, og efter blot tre måneder er en stor del af beløbet forsvundet, siger han.

Amagerbanken den største fejl i Danmarkshistorien